Warsaw
Weather forecast · Chopin (EPWA)
Today in Warsaw, : low 2 °C so far; high 12 °C, the median of 6 free forecasts.
Forecasts updated (AIFS 00Z, )Next update
12 / 2°CHigh / low · Wed 28 Oct · rest of daylow so far, whole °C
- Source spread
- 11.1–13.4 °C
- highs · lows 5.0–7.5
- Sources
- 6
- 4 model groups
- Rain
- 0.0 mm · 3%
- n 2: ENS, GEFS
- Now
- 8 °C
- EPWA 7:30 am
- Alerts
- None
- MeteoAlarm
Markets
How each market here settles, and the number so far.
| Market | Settles on | Today | Forecast | Tomorrow | Last settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket high Market → | Chopin EPWA · AWC routine METARs only · 0.1 °C, half up to whole °C · local day · AWC METAR EPWACounts hourly reports only; can read under the daily max. | Today 8°C at 7:00 am | Forecast 12.0°C, n 6 | Tomorrow 12.0°C, n 7 | Last settled Oct 27 Polymarket 13°C · ours 13°C · 310/310 in 30 d |
| Polymarket low Market → | Chopin EPWA · AWC routine METARs only · 0.1 °C, half up to whole °C · local day · AWC METAR EPWACounts hourly reports only; can read over the daily min. | Today 2°C at 2:00 am | Forecast 2.0°C, n 6 | Tomorrow 7.7°C, n 7 | Last settled Oct 27 Polymarket 0°C · ours 0°C · 310/310 in 30 d |
NOAA/NWS (public domain); MET Norway, DWD (CC BY 4.0); ECCC (Open Licence); based on ECMWF data (CC BY 4.0; ECMWF accepts no liability); METAR from IMGW-PIB via NOAA AWC; Market rules and results: Kalshi, Polymarket (linked; not affiliated); modified by groundhog. Receipts →
Week
- High
- Low
- Median
- ~ 6-hourly
Wed2812.0 / 6.7
Thu2912.0 / 7.7
Fri3010.1 / 4.9
Sat3110.3 / 5.5
Sun18.6 / 4.8
Mon28.5 / 3.9
Tue37.9 / 4.0
By source
| Source | Wed 28 | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median | 12.0 / 6.7 | 12.0 / 7.7n 7 | 10.1 / 4.9n 7 | 10.3 / 5.5n 7 | 8.6 / 4.8n 7 | 8.5 / 3.9 | 7.9 / 4.0 |
| Source spread | 11.1–13.45.0–7.5 | 9.8–12.35.8–8.3 | 9.2–12.74.2–7.0 | 8.4–11.24.5–7.0 | 7.2–8.84.3–7.6 | 6.0–9.22.0–5.0 | 5.5–8.62.6–4.3 |
| GFS-based | |||||||
| 13.4/6.9 | 12.3/8.3 | 12.7/7.0 | 10.6/7.0 | 8.6/7.6 | 9.2/5.0 | 8.5/4.2 | |
| 13.3/10.1~ | 11.3/9.1~ | 10.7/6.6~ | 10.4/7.3~ | 9.7/6.9~ | 6.6/5.9~ | 8.3/3.1~ | |
| ECMWF-based | |||||||
| 11.7/6.6 | 12.2/7.8 | 9.2/4.6 | 11.2/5.0 | 8.7/4.9 | 8.4/4.6 | 8.2/4.3 | |
| 12.2/5.9 | 12.2/8.1 | 9.6/4.9 | 11.2/5.0 | 8.7/4.8 | 8.5/4.8 | 8.6/4.3 | |
| 10.1/8.2~ | 9.4/7.1~ | 8.6/5.6~ | 8.9/6.3~ | 7.1/4.4~ | 7.4/4.3~ | 7.6/3.6~ | |
| — | 12.0/7.7 | 10.1/5.8 | 10.3/6.2 | 8.8/4.7 | 8.4/4.7~ | 8.5/3.9~ | |
| DWD | |||||||
| 11.3/7.5 | 10.6/7.6 | 9.2/6.0 | 8.4/5.7 | 7.3/4.3 | 7.7/3.3 | 7.3/3.2 | |
| 12.4/6.9 | 11.3/7.3 | 10.8/4.2 | 9.2/5.5 | 7.2/4.6 | 8.8/2.0 | 7.6/2.6 | |
| CMC | |||||||
| 11.1/5.0 | 9.8/5.8 | 10.4/4.8 | 9.0/4.5 | 7.2/5.1 | 6.0/2.8 | 5.5/3.8 | |
~ 6-hourly: shown, not in the median. Grid models: nearest point 10 km away.
CreditsNOAA · MET Norway · DWD · ECCC · Based on ECMWF data (CC BY 4.0) · METAR: IMGW-PIB · GeoNamesAll credits
- Source: NOAA/NWS (US Government work, public domain); NBM/MOS/GFS/AIGFS/HRRR/WPC/MRMS: NOAA NCEP/MDL/NSSL; modified by groundhog (point extraction, local-day max/min, precipitation totals and chances); not endorsed by NOAA
- Data from MET Norway (Locationforecast 2.0), CC BY 4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ ; modified: local-day max/min, precipitation totals and chances
- Quelle: Deutscher Wetterdienst (MOSMIX, CC BY 4.0; modified: local-day max/min, precipitation totals and chances)
- Data Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada (NAEFS: CMC GEPS members) and NOAA NCEP (GEFS members); modified: member daily max/min quantiles, precipitation totals and chances
- Based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF); ENS read from dynamical.org's archive. CC BY 4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ ; modified by groundhog (point extraction, local-day max/min, ensemble quantiles, precipitation totals and chances). ECMWF does not accept any liability whatsoever for any error or omission in the data, their availability, or for any loss or damage arising from their use.
- METAR via NOAA Aviation Weather Center; originated by IMGW-PIB
- Place names: GeoNames (geonames.org), CC BY 4.0
Next 72 h
- Median
- ENS p10–p90
- Source
- 6-hourly
One callline · week · table
One call
curl "https://groundhog.markets/api/v1/blend?place=warsaw" 581 Bcurl "https://groundhog.markets/api/v1/blend?place=warsaw&size=week" 848 Bcurl "https://groundhog.markets/api/v1/blend?place=warsaw&size=table" 3.0 KB