Updated

New York City

Weather forecast · Central Park (KNYC)

Today in New York City, : high 62.0 °F, low 47.0 °F, the median of 8 free forecasts (7 for the low).

Forecasts updated (AIGFS 00Z, )Next update

62.0 / 47.0°FHigh / low · Wed 28 Oct · rest of day
Source spread
60.0–62.4 °F
highs · lows 40.7–51.8
Sources
8
5 model groups
Rain
0.00 in · <2%
n 3: ENS, GEFS, GEPS
Now
51 °F
KNYC 11:51 pm
Normal
60 / 47 °F
1991–2020
Alerts
None
NWS

Markets

How each market here settles, and the number so far.

Highs/lows: Kalshi Central Park (KNYC), Polymarket LaGuardia (KLGA). Rain: Central Park. 8 km apart.

MarketSettles onTodayForecastTomorrowLast settled
Kalshi high Market →Central Park KNYC · Kalshi names The Weather Company (shows NWS CLINYC) · whole °F · midnight–midnight standard time (1 am–1 am now)The climate report can read higher (1-minute data).Today 61°F at 4:34 pmForecast —Tomorrow 62.0°F, NBMLast settled —
Polymarket high Market →LaGuardia KLGA · AWC routine METARs only · 0.1 °C, half up to whole °F · local day · AWC METAR KLGACounts hourly reports only; can read under the daily max.Today No reports yet.Forecast 62.0°F, n 9Tomorrow 69.0°F, n 10Last settled Oct 26 Polymarket 70–71°F · ours 71°F · match · 310/310 in 30 d
Kalshi low Market →Central Park KNYC · Kalshi names The Weather Company (shows NWS CLINYC) · whole °F · midnight–midnight standard time (1 am–1 am now)The climate report can read lower (1-minute data).Today 51°F at 11:51 pmForecast —Tomorrow 47.0°F, n 7Last settled —
Polymarket low Market →LaGuardia KLGA · AWC routine METARs only · 0.1 °C, half up to whole °F · local day · AWC METAR KLGACounts hourly reports only; can read over the daily min.Today No reports yet.Forecast 46.6°F, n 8Tomorrow 51.0°F, n 10Last settled Oct 26 Polymarket 54–55°F · ours 54°F · match · 310/310 in 30 d
Kalshi rain Market →Central Park KNYC · Kalshi names The Weather Company (shows NWS CLINYC) · above 0.00 in · standard-time dayToday 0.00 in so farForecast Chance <2%Tomorrow Chance <2%Last settled —
Polymarket rain Market →Central Park KNYC · NWS CLINYC · 0.01 in or more · last report by 2 pm ET next dayToday 0.00 in so farForecast Chance <2%Tomorrow Chance <2%Last settled Oct 26 Polymarket No · ours 0.00 in · 70/70 in 30 d
Kalshi rain · weekend Market →Central Park KNYC · Kalshi names The Weather Company (shows NWS CLINYC) · any rain Saturday or SundayToday No reports yet.Forecast —Tomorrow —Last settled —
Kalshi rain · October Market →Central Park KNYC · NWS CLINYC daily reports · month total, strictly above the lineToday No reports yet.Forecast —Tomorrow —Last settled —
Polymarket rain · October Market →Central Park KNYC · NWS NOWData Central Park · month total · a tie goes to the higher bin · NOAA RCC ACIS (NYC)Today 2.22 in through Oct 26 · today 2.22 inForecast ≈ 0.00 in through Oct 31 (0.00–0.00)Tomorrow —Last settled —

NOAA/NWS (public domain); MET Norway, DWD, GEFS via dynamical.org (CC BY 4.0); ECCC (Open Licence); based on ECMWF data (CC BY 4.0; ECMWF accepts no liability); NOAA Regional Climate Centers (ACIS); Market rules and results: Kalshi, Polymarket (linked; not affiliated); modified by groundhog. Receipts →

Climate day

  • KNYC · Kalshi, Polymarket daily rain · climate day, 1 am–1 am EDT (midnight–midnight standard time)

    0.00 in so far (reports to 11:51 pm) · radar 0.00 in

    Rest of climate day: <2% of members (n 3: ENS 00Z, GEFS 00Z, GEPS 12Z; raw) · 30 min left

Week

  • High
  • Low
  • Median
  • ~ 6-hourly
°FWed 28Thu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
Wed2862.0 / 47.0
Thu2968.3 / 50.0
Fri3071.2 / 54.1
Sat3161.3 / 48.0
Sun164.3 / 47.5
Mon266.5 / 51.5
Tue365.7 / 52.7

By source

SourceWed 28Thu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
Median62.0 / 47.068.3 / 50.0n 971.2 / 54.1n 961.3 / 48.0n 964.3 / 47.566.5 / 51.565.7 / 52.7n 7
Source spread60.0–62.440.7–51.867.0–71.145.8–54.068.0–73.650.5–57.058.0–65.045.4–49.461.0–67.641.0–53.761.4–71.442.6–55.963.0–69.645.3–57.5
NBM-based
62/4768/5071/5665/4966/5067/55—
62/—69/5071/5562/4965/4866/5264/53
GFS-based
60/4867/5268/5758/4661/4762/5163/54
61/5268/5471/5361/4964/5464/5665/47
60/52~67/51~68/54~56/45~59/39~65/43~66/48~
ECMWF-based
62/4469/4871/5159/4868/4571/5070/53
62/4471/4871/5260/4868/4571/5069/52
62/44~69/49~70/58~59/47~61/41~67/42~71/47~
—67/4771/5461/4862/47~64/52~66/52~
DWD
62/4768/5272/5662/4963/5161/5566/58
NAEFS
—67/51~69/55~60/48~62/48~63/54~60/52~
CMC
62/4169/4674/5462/4564/4170/4368/45

~ 6-hourly: shown, not in the median. Nearby stations: not counted.

CreditsNOAA · MET Norway · DWD · ECCC · Based on ECMWF data (CC BY 4.0) · GeoNamesAll credits
  • Source: NOAA/NWS (US Government work, public domain); NBM/MOS/GFS/AIGFS/HRRR/WPC/MRMS: NOAA NCEP/MDL/NSSL; modified by groundhog (point extraction, local-day max/min, precipitation totals and chances); not endorsed by NOAA
  • Data from MET Norway (Locationforecast 2.0), CC BY 4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ ; modified: local-day max/min, precipitation totals and chances
  • Quelle: Deutscher Wetterdienst (MOSMIX, CC BY 4.0; modified: local-day max/min, precipitation totals and chances)
  • Data Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada (NAEFS: CMC GEPS members) and NOAA NCEP (GEFS members); modified: member daily max/min quantiles, precipitation totals and chances
  • Based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF); ENS read from dynamical.org's archive. CC BY 4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ ; modified by groundhog (point extraction, local-day max/min, ensemble quantiles, precipitation totals and chances). ECMWF does not accept any liability whatsoever for any error or omission in the data, their availability, or for any loss or damage arising from their use.
  • Place names: GeoNames (geonames.org), CC BY 4.0

Next 72 h

  • Median
  • ENS p10–p90
  • Source
  • 6-hourly
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