Updated

Austin

Weather forecast · Bergstrom (KAUS)

Tomorrow in Austin, : high 83.9 °F, low 65.1 °F, the median of 10 free forecasts (9 for the low).

Forecasts updated (AIGFS 00Z, )Next update

83.9 / 65.1°FHigh / low · Wed 28 Oct
Source spread
81.4–86.6 °F
highs · lows 61.0–67.1
Sources
10
5 model groups
Rain
0.05 in · 63%
n 4: ENS, GEFS, NBM calibrated, MOSMIX
Now
70 °F
KAUS 10:53 pm
Normal
78 / 53 °F
1991–2020
Alerts
None
NWS

Markets

How each market here settles, and the number so far.

MarketSettles onTodayForecastTomorrowLast settled
Kalshi high Market →Bergstrom KAUS · Kalshi names The Weather Company (shows NWS CLIAUS) · whole °F · midnight–midnight standard time (1 am–1 am now)The climate report can read higher (1-minute data).Today 83°F at 6:53 pmForecast 83.0°F, n 3Tomorrow 86.0°F, NBMLast settled —
Polymarket high Market →Bergstrom KAUS · AWC routine METARs only · 0.1 °C, half up to whole °F · local day · AWC METAR KAUSCounts hourly reports only; can read under the daily max.Today 82°F at 3:53 pmForecast 82.0°F, n 3Tomorrow 83.9°F, n 10Last settled Oct 26 Polymarket 78–79°F · ours 79°F · match · 310/310 in 30 d
Kalshi low Market →Bergstrom KAUS · Kalshi names The Weather Company (shows NWS CLIAUS) · whole °F · midnight–midnight standard time (1 am–1 am now)Low may come after midnight; Kalshi's day runs to 1 am.Today 60°F at 12:53 pmForecast 60.0°F, n 3Tomorrow 65.1°F, n 9Last settled —
Polymarket low Market →Bergstrom KAUS · AWC routine METARs only · 0.1 °C, half up to whole °F · local day · AWC METAR KAUSCounts hourly reports only; can read over the daily min.Today 61°F at 6:53 amForecast 61.0°F, n 3Tomorrow 65.1°F, n 9Last settled Oct 26 Polymarket 54–55°F · ours 54°F · match · 310/310 in 30 d
Kalshi rain Market →Bergstrom KAUS · Kalshi names The Weather Company (shows NWS CLIAUS) · above 0.00 in · standard-time dayToday 0.00 in so farForecast Chance <2%Tomorrow Chance 84%Last settled —
Kalshi rain · weekend Market →Bergstrom KAUS · Kalshi names The Weather Company (shows NWS CLIAUS) · any rain Saturday or SundayToday No reports yet.Forecast —Tomorrow —Last settled —
Kalshi rain · October Market →Bergstrom KAUS · Kalshi names The Weather Company daily reports (shows NWS CLIAUS) · month total, strictly above the lineToday No reports yet.Forecast —Tomorrow —Last settled —
Polymarket rain · Oct 27Circuit of the Americas · FIA Race Weather Report · not openToday No open source for this number.Forecast —Tomorrow —Last settled —

NOAA/NWS (public domain); MET Norway, DWD, GEFS via dynamical.org (CC BY 4.0); ECCC (Open Licence); based on ECMWF data (CC BY 4.0; ECMWF accepts no liability); Market rules and results: Kalshi, Polymarket (linked; not affiliated); modified by groundhog. Receipts →

Climate day

  • KAUS · Kalshi daily rain · climate day, 1 am–1 am CDT (midnight–midnight standard time)

    T in so far (reports to 10:53 pm) · radar 0.00 in

    Rest of climate day: <2% of members (n 2: ENS 00Z, GEFS 00Z; raw) · 2 h left

Week

  • High
  • Low
  • Median
  • ~ 6-hourly
°FWed 28Thu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
Wed2883.9 / 65.1
Thu2978.6 / 66.2
Fri3076.2 / 64.6
Sat3180.9 / 64.2
Sun184.0 / 63.7
Mon285.0 / 65.0
Tue380.0 / 62.0

By source

SourceWed 28Thu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
Median83.9 / 65.178.6 / 66.276.2 / 64.680.9 / 64.284.0 / 63.7n 985.0 / 65.0n 980.0 / 62.0n 8
Source spread81.4–86.661.0–67.174.2–83.462.0–68.573.3–81.058.0–65.875.0–85.060.0–68.275.5–88.060.0–67.680.0–91.062.0–69.574.0–82.459.6–64.8
NBM-based
85/6181/6478/6284/6285/6285/65—
86/—82/6279/6183/6084/6086/6281/60
GFS-based
84/6379/6581/5881/6186/6189/6579/62
86/6675/6873/6685/6788/6791/6976/60
81/66~72/68~69/65~76/64~76/64~76/64~76/66~
ECMWF-based
83/6478/6774/6578/6482/6484/6981/62
81/6574/6773/6577/6382/6384/6882/62
78/66~76/68~69/65~75/67~76/67~78/69~73/65~
82/6578/6877/6581/6681/66~81/70~75/66~
DWD
82/6780/6874/6477/6681/6683/6482/61
84/6776/6581/6583/6884/6886/6774/63
CMC
87/6283/6676/6575/6576/6680/6475/65

~ 6-hourly: shown, not in the median. Grid models: nearest point 10 km away.

CreditsNOAA · MET Norway · DWD · ECCC · Based on ECMWF data (CC BY 4.0) · GeoNamesAll credits
  • Source: NOAA/NWS (US Government work, public domain); NBM/MOS/GFS/AIGFS/HRRR/WPC/MRMS: NOAA NCEP/MDL/NSSL; modified by groundhog (point extraction, local-day max/min, precipitation totals and chances); not endorsed by NOAA
  • Data from MET Norway (Locationforecast 2.0), CC BY 4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ ; modified: local-day max/min, precipitation totals and chances
  • Quelle: Deutscher Wetterdienst (MOSMIX, CC BY 4.0; modified: local-day max/min, precipitation totals and chances)
  • Data Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada (NAEFS: CMC GEPS members) and NOAA NCEP (GEFS members); modified: member daily max/min quantiles, precipitation totals and chances
  • Based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF); ENS read from dynamical.org's archive. CC BY 4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ ; modified by groundhog (point extraction, local-day max/min, ensemble quantiles, precipitation totals and chances). ECMWF does not accept any liability whatsoever for any error or omission in the data, their availability, or for any loss or damage arising from their use.
  • Place names: GeoNames (geonames.org), CC BY 4.0

Next 72 h

  • Median
  • ENS p10–p90
  • Source
  • 6-hourly
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